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ESC 2019: The escgo! predictions for tonight’s second semi-final

by | May 16, 2019

ESC 2019: The escgo! predictions for tonight’s second semi-final

by | May 16, 2019 | 2019 ESC General, Eurovision | 1 comment

The second semi-final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2019 is just a few hours away, and so it’s time for us in the escgo! team to predict the ten qualifiers for the grand final on Saturday!

Two days ago, Martin got 8/10 right while Shi and Felix each managed 7/10. And let’s be honest, we were all caught off guard by Serhat. But where will we be right and wrong tonight?

You can see the choices of Shi, Martin and Felix in the table below – followed by a brief summary of their views!

Country Martin Felix Shi TEAM
1. Armenia
Q Q 66.7 %
2. Ireland
0 %
3. Moldova
Q 33.3 %
4. Switzerland
Q Q 66.7 %
5. Latvia
Q 33.3 %
6. Romania
0 %
7. Denmark
Q Q 66.7 %
8. Sweden
Q Q Q 100 %
9. Austria
Q Q 66.7 %
10. Croatia
Q Q 66.7 %
11. Malta
Q Q 66.7 %
12. Lithuania
0 %
13. Russia
Q Q Q 100 %
14. Albania
0 %
15. Norway
Q Q 66.7 %
16. Netherlands
Q Q Q 100 %
17. North Macedonia
Q Q 66.7 %
18. Azerbaijan
Q Q Q 100 %


Shi:
Much like semi 1 last year, I have more songs I would have wanted to see in the final than spots. While I feel fairly confident about most of my choices, I was still down to three choices for the last qualifier. Norway feels like it won’t do well with juries and the televise has enough to rank above it, Romania is, well, Romania. They can miss out as we know, but they need to try very hard to not be in contention, and Armenia, which is like Romania plus a possible strong jury appeal. I went with the jury getting this one in. Also: my main prediction for tonight is 10 points separating 6 and 14.

Martin:
The way Kate Miller-Heidke changed up her vocals in the last part of the song to make it more interesting; the creepy floating dead dad heads behind Joci Pápai that made the whole thing a bit “eww”; ZENA having an amazing personality on stage; Tulia not having any personality at all. What do these things have in common? I didn’t anticipate any of them because (I guess) I wasn’t paying enough attention in the run-up to semi 1. Still, rather than learn from this insight, I’m going to stick with my prejudices when it comes to semi 2. So I expect North Macedonia to fuck things up like they always do, and Croatia to milk the cheese vote like nobody’s business. Go on – prove me wrong.

Felix:
I made one daring decision, and that is leaving Switzerland out of my qualifiers, and having Latvia instead. Why would I have a strong song as NQ and a weak one as Q, you might wonder? Easy, I think that presentation and effective use of the stage is playing a big role, and Switzerland sadly does a whole lot of counterproductive things with the staging. Latvia sells their song much better. Well, for the Swiss and many German Luca Hänni fans, I certainly hope I’m wrong, as I’d love to see the guy in the final. The rest is obvious I think.

Will we be right or completely wrong? There’s only a few hours left until we find out – so whatever you’re doing and whomever you’re watching the show with, enjoy the evening and may the best songs qualify!

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1 Comment

  1. Franko

    Almost agree with Martin 100%. Only possibly the Lithuanian builders will screw things up for Malta and nick the 10th place. Of course the live performances may change things again…

1 Comment

  1. Franko

    Almost agree with Martin 100%. Only possibly the Lithuanian builders will screw things up for Malta and nick the 10th place. Of course the live performances may change things again…

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The first semi-final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2019 is just a few hours away, and so it’s time for us in the escgo! team to predict the ten qualifiers for the grand final on Saturday.

You can see the choices of Shi, Martin and Felix in the table below – followed by a brief summary of their views!

Country Martin Felix Shi TEAM
1. Cyprus
Q Q Q 100 %
2. Montenegro
0 %
3. Finland
0 %
4. Poland
Q Q Q 100 %
5. Slovenia
Q 33.3 %
6. Czech Republic
Q Q Q 100 %
7. Hungary
Q Q Q 100 %
8. Belarus
0 %
9. Serbia
Q Q Q 100 %
10. Belgium
0 %
11. Georgia
Q Q 66.7 %
12. Australia
Q Q Q 100 %
13. Iceland
Q Q Q 100 %
14. Estonia
Q Q Q 100 %
15. Portugal
0 %
16. Greece
Q Q Q 100 %
17. San Marino
 33.3 %


Shi:

I am the least certain about Estonia and Georgia: Victor isn’t a great singer and the song is painfully generic, but his charisma and the song’s sanity come in the right place and time in the draw. Georgia is my wishful thinking entry and my test case of how far can a great staging of a difficult song can take you. And all in all, it might be considered the weaker semi, but it is shaping us to at least bring a diverse selection of songs into the final. I can live with that.

Martin:

Wackiest semi-final ever? Well, the first one in 2012 gives it a run for its money – Valentina Monetta, Trackshittaz, Rambo Amadeus and the Babushki, anyone? – but the back-to-back combo of “Zero Gravity” and “Hatrið mun sigra”, even separated by a break, should be one of the more memorable sections we’ve had in an ESC show. As for qualification, I’m in that annoying position of having more qualifiers in the first half. We know that’s not impossible now, but it still seems highly improbable. And within that, I’m not especially confident about Poland or Slovenia (I’ve even bet against the latter to qualify, albeit it’s money I’d be delighted to lose). Still, I feel like it’s a strong year for Central Europe, so I’m sticking with my gut instinct.

Felix:

I thought this prediction was quite easy. It doesn’t really match my personal preferences, but I think this is what the wider audience and the juries will go for. I was a bit hesitating about Poland, and nearly would have picked Belgium instead, but the staging of the latter looks so wrong that it’s ruining the slightest chance for qualification. Australia is a sure qualifier for anything other than the song, Serbia knows how to sell dullness, and the Czech Republic is the first captivating song in the running order. These three feel like the safest predictions, the last place will probably go to Belarus.

Will we be right or completely wrong? There’s only a few hours left until we find out – so whatever you’re doing and whomever you’re watching the show with, enjoy the evening and may the best songs qualify!

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